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US jobs data at 173K, below est; jobless rate falls to 5.1%

US jobs data at 173K, below est; jobless rate falls to 5.1%

The US economy added 173,000 jobs in August, lower than expected as investors look for clues about the path of interest rates, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

In addition to the new jobs, the unemployment rate fell to 5.1 percent. A separate measure that includes those who have stopped looking for work or are working part time for economic reasons edged lower to 10.3 percent. The labor force participation rate remained mired near its lowest level since the late 1970s at 62.6 percent.

The US was expected to create 220,000 jobs in August, with the unemployment rate falling to 5.2 percent. Markets initially reacted little to the number, with stock futures pointing to a lower open on Wall Street.

The payrolls number is the final critical data point before the Federal Reserve meeting Sept. 16-17. Market participants are divided over whether the Federal Open Market Committee will vote to raise interest rates for the first time in more than nine years.

Complicating the decision is an August number that traditionally has been the quirkiest of the year. Over the previous 27 years, August’s numbers have missed Wall Street economists’ expectations 21 times, with the average error 61,000, according to Deutsche Bank.

Moreover, Deutsche found that misses to the downside generally are much larger than those to the upside.

The August number also has been the subject of substantial revisions. In 2011, for instance, the initial reading was zero jobs created, a number that ultimately got bumped up to 104,000. In 2014, the initial reading was 142,000, later revised up to 203,000.

Just 27 percent of futures traders at the CME expect a September rate hike, with the largest likelihood in December, at 58 percent. Wall Street experts immediately went to work trying to interpret the jobs number in terms of Fed policy.

In the jobs market, health care and social assistance led the way with 56,000 new workers. Financial activities added 19,000, while professional and business services contributed 33,000.

Manufacturing saw a decline of 17,000 for the month, while mining fell 9,000.

Hourly earnings showed a mild uptick, climbing eight cents an hour, representing a 2.2 percent gain over the past 12 months. The average work week edged higher to 34.6 hours.

The creation of new jobs titled towards full-time, which added 435,000, while part-time positions grew by 148,000.

Previous months’ numbers were revised higher as well, with June moving from 231,000 to 245,000 and July going from 215,000 to 245,000. Average job creation over the past 12 months was at 247,000.


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