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India to see stable growth; odds depend on reforms: OECD

India to see stable growth; odds depend on reforms: OECD

Indian economy is expected to see an average growth of 6.7 percent over the 2015-19 period and a further boost would depend on reform plans of the government, says a report.

However, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) today also said India and China face significant challenges.

“India’s growth should remain stable at 6.7 percent, before any potential boost from the new government’s reform plans,” the report, released at the ASEAN Business and Investment Summit, said.

“Emerging Asia” is set for healthy growth over the medium term even as outlook for many OECD countries remains subdued, as per the grouping’s latest economic outlook report for Southeast Asia, China and India.

“India’s growth should be stable over 2015-19, but the prospects could change depending on the implementation of the reforms of the new Modi government,” the report said.

These plans include promoting domestic and foreign investments, creating jobs, improving food security, raising standards of education and skills development, building new infrastructure, enhancing water governance and increasing the country’s overall competitiveness, particularly in the manufacturing sector, it added.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led government came to power in May after a thumping victory in the general elections.

In October, the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank projected 5.6 percent growth rate for India this year, citing renewed confidence in the market due to a series of economic reforms pursued by the new government.

Meanwhile, OECD today in its report said that annual GDP growth for the ASEAN -10, China and India is forecast to average 6.5 percent over 2015-19.

“Growth momentum remains robust in the 10 ASEAN countries, with economic growth averaging 5.6 percent over 2015-19,” it noted.

The members of ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) are Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam, Brunei Darussalam, Singapore, Cambodia, Lao PDR and Myanmar.

However, the report said that China’s growth is expected to slowdown to 6.8 percent over 2015-19 period.

It also noted that public sector reforms have made substantial progress in Southeast Asia, China and India.

Paris-based OECD is a grouping of about 34 countries.


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